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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.31+3.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.33+0.78vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook2.59-0.58vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+2.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.60-1.07vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.76vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University0.80-1.68vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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2.78George Washington University2.330.3%1st Place
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2.42SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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6.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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3.93George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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5.32Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.17William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Gowell | 9.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.6% |
| Riley Engelberger | 26.2% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 34.8% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Lithen | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 49.5% |
| Marie Line | 10.4% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Julian Fraize | 9.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 21.3% | 13.3% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 26.4% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.