← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.33+1.71vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.44vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia1.31+1.39vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.28vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.60-1.05vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+0.70vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.80-1.68vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.15-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71George Washington University2.330.3%1st Place
-
2.44SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
-
4.39University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.28Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
3.95George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
-
6.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.32Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
-
6.21William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Engelberger | 26.5% | 26.0% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 33.1% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gowell | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 4.4% |
| Julian Fraize | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Marie Line | 11.7% | 13.0% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Lithen | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 47.3% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 14.5% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 29.5% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.