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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.31+3.34vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.31vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.60+0.92vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.57vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.33-2.20vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.80-0.76vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.15-0.73vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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4.31Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.92George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.43SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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2.8George Washington University2.330.3%1st Place
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5.24Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.27William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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6.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Gowell | 7.9% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 9.8% | 4.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% |
| Marie Line | 12.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 33.7% | 24.6% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 26.3% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 11.9% |
| Chris Anderson | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 25.6% | 33.2% |
| Andrew Lithen | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.