← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.37vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.33+0.79vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University1.60+0.93vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+2.75vs Predicted
-
5University of Virginia1.31-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.76vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University0.80-1.67vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.15-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.37SUNY Stony Brook2.590.4%1st Place
-
2.79George Washington University2.330.3%1st Place
-
3.93George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
-
6.75SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
-
4.39University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
5.33Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
-
6.21William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 35.1% | 25.3% | 20.3% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 25.5% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Marie Line | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Lithen | 1.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 19.9% | 49.7% |
| Julia Gowell | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Julian Fraize | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 22.1% | 13.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 28.9% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.