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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+0.42vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.33-0.21vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.31-0.55vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.80-0.77vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-0.21vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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2.42SUNY Stony Brook2.590.3%1st Place
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2.79George Washington University2.330.3%1st Place
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3.97George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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5.23Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.79SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.17William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Fraize | 10.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 34.4% | 25.4% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 25.2% | 25.0% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marie Line | 11.5% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 17.9% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Lithen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 20.6% | 51.6% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 27.6% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.