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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.35vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.31+2.45vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+1.23vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60-0.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.33-2.19vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.80-0.79vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-0.23vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.15-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35SUNY Stony Brook2.590.4%1st Place
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4.45University of Virginia1.310.1%1st Place
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4.23Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.95George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.81George Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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5.21Christopher Newport University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.22William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidar Minkovsky | 36.0% | 26.1% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gowell | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 4.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Marie Line | 11.0% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Riley Engelberger | 24.0% | 25.8% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 19.1% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Lithen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 20.8% | 51.1% |
| Chris Anderson | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 29.2% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.