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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.62+5.63vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+4.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+0.57vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+0.16vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+0.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.63+0.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.27vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.01-0.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-0.55vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.74-1.51vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.15-4.76vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.21-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.57Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.16Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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4.49Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.49Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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8.72University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.49University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.24California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.69California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Oakes | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 20.0% | 18.3% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 16.2% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 13.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 19.5% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Annie Johnson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Kunz | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 22.2% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.