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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+3.10vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+1.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43-0.50vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.96vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+3.41vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.59-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.01+0.72vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.63-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-0.55vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.21-0.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.74-2.38vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands0.15-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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3.57Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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4.5Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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10.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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14.0University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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14.54California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.62University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
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11.2California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 20.7% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 19.6% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 22.4% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 15.4% |
| Charles Winter | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 19.1% | 35.5% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.