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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.70+8.28vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+6.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+5.58vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+2.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+1.98vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03+1.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57-1.49vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26+3.41vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy2.20+2.52vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.03vs Predicted
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11Amherst College0.96+6.12vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.71+0.74vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-1.72vs Predicted
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16Williams College-0.32+4.37vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.81vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-9.17vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.22-7.39vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College2.97-11.78vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College1.69-7.43vs Predicted
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22McGill University1.31-6.54vs Predicted
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23University of Connecticut0.32-4.07vs Predicted
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24Brandeis University-0.10-3.95vs Predicted
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25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.28Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.32Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.51Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.41Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.52Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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17.12Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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13.74University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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13.28Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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20.37Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.57Connecticut College1.690.0%1st Place
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15.46McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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18.93University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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20.05Brandeis University-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan White | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 14.4% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 37.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Price | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Daly | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 14.6% |
| Josh Basseches | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 21.1% | 31.2% |
| Santiago Enrique | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.