Race 10B

cedarfest

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexandra Avery 15.7% 16.3% 15.3% 13.8% 12.6% 10.9% 7.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.7%
Jack Charlton 16.7% 15.3% 16.4% 13.0% 13.8% 10.3% 7.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Caden Meyers 15.0% 14.1% 14.6% 15.3% 13.4% 11.2% 8.4% 5.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Griffin Boothby 13.2% 13.2% 11.9% 12.8% 11.6% 13.3% 9.2% 9.2% 4.6% 1.0%
Nathan Sylvester 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 11.3% 12.4% 13.0% 12.6% 11.5% 7.7% 2.1%
Henrik Stjernfeldt 14.0% 14.0% 13.4% 12.6% 11.6% 12.5% 10.8% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Alya MacManaway 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.2% 10.2% 10.8% 15.8% 14.7% 10.9% 4.6%
Alex Schlotterer 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.3% 8.9% 11.3% 18.2% 20.5% 16.4%
Claire DeVoogd 1.9% 1.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 4.0% 7.6% 10.1% 23.4% 42.0%
AUSTIN SJAARDA 2.9% 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 9.3% 12.4% 24.3% 31.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.