← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.93+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.43+2.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.59+3.84vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles0.92+4.82vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.63-0.95vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.74+0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.01+4.60vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.90-4.46vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+1.58vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.63-0.35vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-0.74+2.64vs Predicted
-
12California State University Channel Islands0.15-0.86vs Predicted
-
13California State University Channel Islands-1.21+1.60vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley1.62-7.17vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.61-5.27vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.92vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
-
4.5Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.84University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.82University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
4.05Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
-
6.52University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.6University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
-
3.54Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
-
10.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
9.65University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
-
13.64University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
-
11.14California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.6California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
14.08University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
-
13.43University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 21.2% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 16.5% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 21.8% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Annie Johnson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Charles Winter | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 20.1% | 34.7% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 22.4% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.