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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+2.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+1.53vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63+1.12vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+6.46vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.63+3.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.74-1.74vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.43-4.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+2.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.62-5.21vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+1.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.01-2.31vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.88vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.21-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.74-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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3.53Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.12Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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10.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.75Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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14.03University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.12California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.66California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 21.7% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 20.8% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Louise Currie | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Leah Ford | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 15.9% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 21.8% | 23.1% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Charles Winter | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 33.4% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.