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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+2.52vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.62+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.59+2.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.63-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.01+5.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.61+2.73vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.43-3.48vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74-4.52vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.94+2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.63-3.26vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.15-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.66-1.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.74-2.41vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.21-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.5Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.73University of California at Berkeley1.620.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.04Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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4.52Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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8.75University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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11.21California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.59University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.68California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 20.7% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 21.1% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 16.4% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 14.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Leah Ford | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 20.5% | 23.6% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Clements | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 13.9% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| Charles Winter | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.