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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+3.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+1.48vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.77vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.43-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+3.92vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.63+2.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.70vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.01+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.74+1.54vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.66+0.33vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.59-7.03vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands0.15-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.94-1.94vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.21-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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3.48Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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3.6Stanford University2.900.2%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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4.48Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Berkeley-0.010.0%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Berkeley-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.08California State University Channel Islands0.150.0%1st Place
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14.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.7California State University Channel Islands-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 16.4% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 21.0% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 19.2% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Kunz | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Hogan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Rohan Sinha | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| Cullen Quine | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| Louise Currie | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Clements | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Thomas Garcia | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| Charles Winter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.