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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.23+0.33vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.01+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.23-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.02-0.27vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98+0.34vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-1.29vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.13-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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2.33University of Michigan1.230.4%1st Place
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4.03University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
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5.73University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.34Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.71Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.48Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 21.3% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 35.7% | 26.3% | 19.5% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Kane | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| John Lowry | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 15.5% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 6.2% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 28.4% | 31.9% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 18.9% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 23.6% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.