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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.23+1.13vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+1.05vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.01+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.23-0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.48-0.64vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.60+0.11vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98-0.37vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.13-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.62-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Michigan1.230.4%1st Place
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3.05Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.81University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Notre Dame0.230.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.11Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.63Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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6.82Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Notre Dame-4.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | 41.6% | 26.3% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 17.8% | 25.3% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Kane | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 16.1% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 23.2% | 28.7% | 18.9% | 1.6% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 18.5% | 27.4% | 32.8% | 3.5% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 37.6% | 6.1% |
| Preston Kuppe | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 88.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.