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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.23+1.20vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.23+1.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.01-0.05vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.60+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.02-0.24vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.48-3.14vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.13-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2University of Michigan1.230.4%1st Place
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3.81University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
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3.07Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.57Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.76University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.3Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.86University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.48Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | 38.2% | 29.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 10.3% | 15.6% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 21.7% | 20.6% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Kane | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 19.1% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 29.0% | 31.2% |
| John Lowry | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.