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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+7.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.29vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+5.99vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36+1.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+7.95vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.04+1.05vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03-0.03vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.65+1.10vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.70-0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.57-5.12vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.16vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.85+0.76vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.31+2.29vs Predicted
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15Bates College2.26-3.55vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.23-8.45vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.22-4.91vs Predicted
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19University of Connecticut0.32+0.60vs Predicted
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20University of New Hampshire1.71-5.40vs Predicted
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21Brandeis University0.55-2.54vs Predicted
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22Harvard University2.53-11.55vs Predicted
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24Amherst College0.96-6.62vs Predicted
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25Maine Maritime Academy2.20-12.65vs Predicted
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26Williams College-0.32-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.72Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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13.76Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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16.29McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.45Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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19.6University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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14.6University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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18.46Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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17.38Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
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12.35Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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21.05Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Tucker Blagden | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parish | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| David Pierce | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| Justin Marks | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 13.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 6.2% |
| John Joseph | 2.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.