← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.23+1.11vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.23+1.55vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University0.59-0.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-0.48+0.41vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.01-1.31vs Predicted
-
6Hope College-1.98+0.60vs Predicted
-
7Western Michigan University-2.13-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-1.60-1.89vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-4.62-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.11University of Michigan1.230.4%1st Place
-
3.55University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
-
2.93Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
-
4.41University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
3.69University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.6Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.83Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
-
6.11Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
-
8.77University of Notre Dame-4.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | 41.2% | 28.5% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 10.9% | 16.9% | 22.3% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 22.2% | 22.2% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Kane | 12.2% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 17.2% | 28.0% | 31.7% | 3.6% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 25.9% | 39.3% | 4.8% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 12.3% | 24.0% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 2.1% |
| Preston Kuppe | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.