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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.23+1.47vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+1.58vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.23-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.48+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.13+0.92vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-1.60-0.84vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.02-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Michigan1.230.4%1st Place
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3.58Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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4.02Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.92Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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7.16Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Anderson | 35.1% | 24.3% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.6% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 13.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Colleen Wiechart | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| John Lowry | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Kane | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 56.0% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 31.1% | 27.3% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 24.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.