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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.23+3.04vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.23-0.54vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.48+0.24vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.60+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.01-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.02-1.73vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-2.13-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04University of Notre Dame0.230.1%1st Place
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4.16Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Michigan1.230.3%1st Place
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3.32Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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7.17Ohio State University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.51University of Michigan-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.82Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen Wiechart | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 9.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 34.7% | 25.1% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 19.5% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| John Lowry | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Jack Rodman | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 30.8% | 27.4% |
| Nathan Kane | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 12.4% |
| Jillian Vogley | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.