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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.29+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-1.83+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.04-0.35vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.88-0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.13-0.64vs Predicted
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7Hope College-2.27-1.40vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-4.57+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-4.23-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Notre Dame0.290.4%1st Place
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2.16University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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5.01University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.91Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.36Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.6Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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8.23Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kinneally | 38.0% | 30.4% | 18.7% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonny Jenema | 35.3% | 32.5% | 19.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 4.6% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 19.5% | 17.5% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rogers | 10.7% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 16.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Atkins | 4.2% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Justin Edick | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 20.9% | 27.8% | 9.1% | 1.3% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 29.2% | 57.3% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 43.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.