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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.29+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.04+1.94vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.13+2.50vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28-1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.83-0.13vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.61-1.38vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-4.57+1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.06vs Predicted
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9Hope College-2.27-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Notre Dame0.290.4%1st Place
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3.94University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.5Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.09University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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4.87University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
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4.62Michigan State University-1.610.1%1st Place
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8.3Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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5.66Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kinneally | 38.5% | 31.5% | 16.8% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rogers | 7.6% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 25.8% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Sonny Jenema | 37.4% | 32.2% | 19.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 4.4% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Micalah Blohm | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.5% | 18.3% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 29.9% | 58.0% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 42.7% | 38.0% |
| Justin Edick | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 21.3% | 26.5% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.