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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.29+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04+0.56vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.88+0.66vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.13+0.01vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.27-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.10-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.24vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.57-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Notre Dame0.290.4%1st Place
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2.1University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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3.56University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.66Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.01Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.27Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.12Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kinneally | 40.3% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonny Jenema | 36.2% | 32.9% | 19.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rogers | 9.9% | 14.5% | 26.0% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Atkins | 4.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.5% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 19.8% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Justin Edick | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 24.9% | 18.9% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 1.3% | 1.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 31.7% | 21.9% | 7.0% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 36.1% | 36.8% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 26.1% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.