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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.29+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.28+0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04+0.63vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.61+0.31vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.13+0.08vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.27-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-3.10-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.22vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.57-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Notre Dame0.290.4%1st Place
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2.14University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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3.63University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.31Michigan State University-1.610.1%1st Place
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5.08Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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5.34Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
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7.78University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.14Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kinneally | 39.5% | 31.9% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonny Jenema | 35.5% | 32.0% | 20.3% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rogers | 9.6% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 22.6% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Micalah Blohm | 6.6% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.4% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.3% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 6.4% | 1.0% |
| Justin Edick | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 26.6% | 19.9% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 17.5% | 32.5% | 22.2% | 7.0% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 36.2% | 36.9% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 26.4% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.