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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.29+0.16vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.27+2.67vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-1.83+0.84vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.88-0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.13-0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.04-3.25vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.06vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.57-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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2.16University of Notre Dame0.290.3%1st Place
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5.67Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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4.84University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
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4.91Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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5.39Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 38.2% | 31.0% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 34.5% | 32.9% | 20.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Edick | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 27.1% | 10.2% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 4.9% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Peter Atkins | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 22.8% | 23.1% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Charles Rogers | 10.6% | 12.7% | 20.5% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 42.0% | 39.4% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 29.2% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.