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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+1.10vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-1.88+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.29-0.89vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.04-0.37vs Predicted
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5Hope College-2.27+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.83-1.08vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.13-1.59vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-4.57+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-4.23-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Michigan0.280.4%1st Place
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5.18Michigan State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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2.11University of Notre Dame0.290.4%1st Place
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3.63University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.49Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Notre Dame-1.830.0%1st Place
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5.41Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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8.22Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 36.8% | 32.6% | 19.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Atkins | 3.2% | 4.6% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 37.7% | 31.7% | 17.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rogers | 10.8% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 21.7% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Justin Edick | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 10.8% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Yaeger Jr | 4.3% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.6% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 24.2% | 23.0% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 27.7% | 57.1% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 42.6% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.