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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+0.56vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University-2.13+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04-0.01vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.27+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-3.10+1.10vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.88-1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.30-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.35vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.57-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56University of Michigan0.280.6%1st Place
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4.84Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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2.99University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.75Hope College-2.270.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
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4.2Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Notre Dame-2.300.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.02Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 61.8% | 25.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Vogley | 3.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Charles Rogers | 15.0% | 29.8% | 22.5% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Edick | 5.0% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 27.6% | 18.2% | 7.9% |
| Peter Atkins | 6.8% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Harriet Fink | 4.3% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Craig Mueller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 37.0% | 35.0% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 25.4% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.