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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+13.10vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+3.02vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.87+3.90vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.85+7.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22+3.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.97-0.39vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.03-1.87vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.04-3.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.23-5.62vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.26-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.71-0.84vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-5.29vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.70-7.21vs Predicted
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19McGill University1.31-2.74vs Predicted
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20Brandeis University0.55-1.04vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College2.65-11.30vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-10.45vs Predicted
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23University of Connecticut0.32-3.51vs Predicted
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25Williams College-0.32-4.12vs Predicted
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26Amherst College0.96-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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6.82Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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13.73Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.13Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.05Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.02Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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14.16University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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16.26McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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18.96Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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19.49University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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20.88Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
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17.48Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guttorm Straume | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Price | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Joseph | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Blagden | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 15.8% |
| Samuel Parish | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 15.9% | 24.0% | 20.5% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 50.5% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.