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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-2.30+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04-0.02vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.27+0.74vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.88-0.87vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.13-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-4.23+0.71vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-4.57+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.10-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58University of Michigan0.280.6%1st Place
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5.05University of Notre Dame-2.300.0%1st Place
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2.98University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.74Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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4.13Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
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4.64Western Michigan University-2.130.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.02Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 61.5% | 25.0% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harriet Fink | 3.0% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Charles Rogers | 14.5% | 31.3% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Justin Edick | 4.4% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Peter Atkins | 7.0% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Vogley | 5.8% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 36.2% | 36.8% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 9.9% | 24.8% | 53.6% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.