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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-2.30+3.89vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-3.10+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.04-0.02vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.13+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.28-3.42vs Predicted
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6Hope College-2.27-1.17vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.88-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-4.23-0.34vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-4.57-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89University of Notre Dame-2.300.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
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2.98University of Michigan-1.040.2%1st Place
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4.54Western Michigan University-2.130.1%1st Place
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1.58University of Michigan0.280.6%1st Place
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4.83Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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4.18Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
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8.04Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriet Fink | 4.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 19.3% | 16.5% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 7.6% |
| Charles Rogers | 15.2% | 28.7% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Vogley | 5.2% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Sonny Jenema | 61.0% | 26.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Justin Edick | 4.3% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Peter Atkins | 6.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 35.7% | 35.6% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 25.0% | 54.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.