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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.28+0.57vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.04+1.08vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.13+1.68vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.27+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-3.10+1.09vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.88-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-2.30-2.10vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-4.57+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-4.23-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57University of Michigan0.280.6%1st Place
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3.08University of Michigan-1.040.1%1st Place
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4.68Western Michigan University-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.78Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Notre Dame-3.100.0%1st Place
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4.21Michigan State University-1.880.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Notre Dame-2.300.0%1st Place
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8.03Ohio State University-4.570.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Toledo-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Jenema | 61.9% | 24.9% | 9.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Rogers | 13.5% | 28.2% | 23.7% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Vogley | 4.7% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Justin Edick | 4.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Sara Kruempelstaedter | 1.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 25.2% | 19.5% | 7.5% |
| Peter Atkins | 7.0% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Harriet Fink | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Barbara Nainiger | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 25.8% | 53.9% |
| Craig Mueller | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 10.7% | 37.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.