Race 1A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marten Kendrick 11.0% 15.7% 14.6% 13.5% 13.9% 12.3% 9.1% 5.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Darby Reddaway 6.4% 5.3% 8.6% 9.9% 8.5% 11.0% 12.9% 13.9% 14.4% 6.8% 2.3%
Mark Thompson 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 9.6% 12.5% 10.4% 12.5% 12.6% 12.9% 7.5% 0.6%
Tily Milburn 32.4% 24.0% 17.3% 12.2% 6.1% 4.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Vincent Miao 11.1% 11.1% 10.7% 11.0% 12.0% 11.0% 12.0% 9.4% 8.0% 3.5% 0.2%
Abbie Probst 6.1% 6.5% 7.7% 9.4% 10.7% 11.5% 11.7% 13.0% 12.4% 9.0% 2.0%
Allison Chenard 8.3% 7.2% 10.0% 10.4% 9.5% 13.1% 10.9% 12.7% 10.5% 6.1% 1.3%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 10.5% 14.0% 14.6% 11.8% 13.6% 8.9% 9.8% 8.1% 6.9% 1.5% 0.3%
Cassie Todd 5.2% 7.0% 6.5% 8.6% 9.2% 11.4% 11.5% 12.4% 14.5% 10.4% 3.3%
Brent DeAngelis 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 5.3% 7.6% 11.5% 36.3% 25.4%
Timothy DeWitt 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.3% 2.3% 3.3% 5.4% 18.1% 64.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.