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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.46+1.59vs Predicted
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2Duke University1.19+3.06vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology1.55+1.45vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.72+2.32vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.74+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.32-1.19vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-0.78+1.93vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.64+2.10vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.69vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia0.85-4.23vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.89-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59College of Charleston2.460.3%1st Place
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5.06Duke University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.45Georgia Institute of Technology1.550.1%1st Place
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6.32Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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6.06Clemson University0.740.1%1st Place
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4.81University of South Carolina1.320.1%1st Place
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8.93Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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6.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Georgia0.850.1%1st Place
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5.61North Carolina State University0.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tily Milburn | 33.5% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Marten Kendrick | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Darby Reddaway | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Abbie Probst | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Margaux Bacro-Duverger | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 36.0% | 26.1% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 19.3% | 64.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Allison Chenard | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.