Race 3A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Tily Milburn 33.1% 24.6% 17.4% 11.8% 7.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Marten Kendrick 13.8% 15.0% 14.2% 15.5% 11.4% 10.7% 8.9% 5.8% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Vincent Miao 9.0% 9.5% 10.3% 11.6% 13.9% 11.1% 12.6% 9.2% 9.2% 3.1% 0.5%
Darby Reddaway 5.3% 6.2% 7.6% 7.0% 9.7% 12.0% 13.7% 12.9% 14.4% 8.9% 2.3%
Mark Thompson 7.5% 7.0% 9.7% 9.7% 11.9% 10.6% 12.5% 12.0% 10.8% 7.1% 1.2%
Cassie Todd 5.0% 6.7% 7.1% 9.3% 9.0% 10.9% 13.6% 12.5% 14.5% 8.8% 2.6%
Brent DeAngelis 1.3% 3.0% 2.6% 1.4% 2.7% 4.5% 4.0% 8.0% 11.9% 35.2% 25.4%
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 11.4% 12.6% 13.3% 13.0% 12.6% 11.2% 8.5% 10.1% 4.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Allison Chenard 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 10.1% 9.9% 11.7% 12.3% 12.6% 11.6% 7.2% 2.1%
Abbie Probst 7.0% 7.3% 8.5% 9.1% 10.2% 11.2% 11.0% 13.2% 13.3% 7.7% 1.5%
Timothy DeWitt 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.2% 2.6% 1.5% 3.3% 5.8% 18.5% 64.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.