Race 5A

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Margaux Bacro-Duverger 9.1% 11.3% 13.3% 13.0% 11.8% 12.8% 13.2% 8.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.3%
Vincent Miao 9.8% 9.6% 12.1% 11.7% 12.5% 12.8% 11.1% 9.6% 7.7% 2.8% 0.3%
Darby Reddaway 6.1% 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% 10.2% 10.5% 13.7% 12.5% 14.9% 9.6% 2.0%
Tily Milburn 31.7% 25.1% 17.1% 11.2% 7.1% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Cassie Todd 6.6% 6.5% 7.1% 8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 11.4% 13.2% 15.6% 9.6% 1.5%
Marten Kendrick 12.5% 16.0% 14.3% 14.6% 11.6% 9.9% 8.2% 6.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.0%
Abbie Probst 7.4% 6.5% 7.9% 10.2% 10.7% 11.1% 11.6% 13.8% 12.2% 7.0% 1.6%
Allison Chenard 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 11.8% 10.9% 11.7% 12.1% 12.2% 11.4% 6.3% 1.0%
Brent DeAngelis 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 4.5% 7.0% 11.7% 37.1% 26.7%
Mark Thompson 7.6% 9.0% 9.9% 9.4% 11.3% 11.9% 10.1% 12.8% 10.8% 6.2% 1.0%
Timothy DeWitt 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 3.5% 5.5% 17.4% 65.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.