← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+2.90vs Predicted
-
2Duke University1.25+1.48vs Predicted
-
3Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.03vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University-0.24+2.02vs Predicted
-
5University of South Carolina1.25-1.53vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.53-2.92vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.02vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.96+0.48vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University-1.73-0.74vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University-2.37-0.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Georgia-3.47-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
-
3.48Duke University1.250.2%1st Place
-
3.03Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.2%1st Place
-
6.02North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
3.47University of South Carolina1.250.2%1st Place
-
3.08College of Charleston1.530.2%1st Place
-
6.98Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.48University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.26Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.07Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
-
10.25University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Savacool | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 17.1% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 22.1% | 21.7% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 26.2% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mackey Leventis | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Baylis | 22.0% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 25.5% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Erica Trotter | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 26.3% | 7.8% |
| Cameron Rylance | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 23.9% | 25.7% | 17.3% | 8.1% |
| Edward Martin | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 32.7% | 17.5% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.