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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.53+2.05vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.58+0.93vs Predicted
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3Duke University1.25+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.25-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04-1.19vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.240.00vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-2.37+2.00vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-3.47+2.23vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-1.73-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.96-1.51vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05College of Charleston1.530.2%1st Place
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2.93Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.3%1st Place
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3.61Duke University1.250.2%1st Place
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3.58University of South Carolina1.250.2%1st Place
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3.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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6.0North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.0Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
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8.26Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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7.03Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Baylis | 21.2% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 25.3% | 21.4% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 15.5% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 16.4% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 14.5% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 13.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Edward Martin | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 32.3% | 17.9% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 17.0% | 64.2% |
| Cameron Rylance | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 23.3% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 7.5% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 26.4% | 23.5% | 9.0% |
| David Sutton | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 23.7% | 14.1% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.