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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.24+5.03vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.53+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.04+0.94vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.58-0.95vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina1.25-1.53vs Predicted
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6Duke University1.25-2.50vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-0.99-0.03vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-2.37+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.96-0.43vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.73-1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.47-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.03College of Charleston1.530.2%1st Place
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3.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington1.040.1%1st Place
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3.05Georgia Institute of Technology1.580.2%1st Place
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3.47University of South Carolina1.250.2%1st Place
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3.5Duke University1.250.2%1st Place
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6.97Georgia Institute of Technology-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.03Auburn University-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Georgia-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.16Clemson University-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Georgia-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Dockstader | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 27.2% | 24.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Baylis | 22.8% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Savacool | 12.4% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Killham | 22.3% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackey Leventis | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 15.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Sutton | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 13.7% | 24.2% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Edward Martin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 30.5% | 18.7% |
| Erica Trotter | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 24.3% | 27.2% | 8.9% |
| Cameron Rylance | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 12.6% | 22.9% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Post | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.