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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.88+3.14vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.68+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.20+0.54vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.04+1.70vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.40-2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26-1.63vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.11-0.35vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.82-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.67Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.64Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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3.1University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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5.37University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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7.65Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.19Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan VerHulst | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Peterson | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 19.7% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Anna Palmer | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 9.9% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 25.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 23.7% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 5.4% |
| Chad Murray | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 51.7% |
| Samuel Peirson | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.