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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Stephan VerHulst 13.5% 15.0% 13.5% 12.9% 16.7% 12.4% 8.9% 5.9% 1.2%
Matthew Peterson 9.9% 11.0% 11.9% 14.5% 14.3% 13.7% 13.3% 8.1% 3.3%
Jack Famiglietti 19.7% 17.9% 16.9% 13.7% 12.0% 9.6% 7.4% 2.1% 0.7%
Anna Palmer 6.3% 6.0% 9.5% 8.4% 11.5% 14.0% 15.8% 18.6% 9.9%
Rafael Melendez 3.0% 4.6% 6.5% 7.0% 6.6% 9.5% 13.2% 24.1% 25.5%
Michael Sanandajian 23.7% 22.4% 17.4% 14.9% 8.6% 7.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Giancarlo Falconi 8.0% 6.4% 8.8% 11.0% 12.2% 15.4% 18.2% 14.6% 5.4%
Chad Murray 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 6.5% 9.2% 18.9% 51.7%
Samuel Peirson 13.7% 14.5% 12.7% 14.9% 14.3% 11.8% 10.2% 6.1% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.