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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.40+2.19vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+2.29vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.82+1.24vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.04+1.67vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+1.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26-0.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.68-2.49vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-0.11-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Florida2.20-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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4.29Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.24Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.67Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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6.62Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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4.51Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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7.67Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
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3.48University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sanandajian | 23.9% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Samuel Peirson | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Anna Palmer | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 10.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 24.5% | 24.7% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Peterson | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Chad Murray | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 52.0% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 20.1% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.