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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.68+3.51vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+2.32vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.04+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.40-0.92vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.82-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Miami1.26-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Florida2.20-3.49vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-1.25vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.11-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Eckerd College1.680.1%1st Place
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4.32Jacksonville University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.78Jacksonville University1.040.1%1st Place
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3.08University of South Florida2.400.2%1st Place
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4.11Eckerd College1.820.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Miami1.260.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Florida2.200.2%1st Place
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6.75Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.65Rollins College-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Peterson | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Anna Palmer | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 10.1% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 23.4% | 23.4% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Peirson | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Giancarlo Falconi | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 6.7% |
| Jack Famiglietti | 18.8% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 26.7% | 24.6% |
| Chad Murray | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.