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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.57+5.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+10.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+4.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.87+4.82vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+3.19vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+4.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.99vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.04+0.30vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.36-2.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.65-1.09vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.85+2.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+0.96vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy2.20-1.76vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-3.69vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.97-7.32vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.71-3.59vs Predicted
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19Bates College2.26-7.05vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University2.70-10.13vs Predicted
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21University of Connecticut0.32-1.86vs Predicted
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22Brandeis University0.55-3.24vs Predicted
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24Williams College-0.32-3.05vs Predicted
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25McGill University1.31-8.76vs Predicted
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26Amherst College0.96-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.4Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.73Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.650.0%1st Place
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14.01Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.0%1st Place
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12.24Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College2.970.1%1st Place
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14.41University of New Hampshire1.710.0%1st Place
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11.95Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.700.1%1st Place
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19.14University of Connecticut0.320.0%1st Place
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18.76Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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20.95Williams College-0.320.0%1st Place
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16.24McGill University1.310.0%1st Place
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17.58Amherst College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Nickbarg | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Krevans | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Blagden | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Parish | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Guttorm Straume | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| John Joseph | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Price | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Justin Marks | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| David Pierce | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan White | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Whitney Washburn | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 22.3% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 16.3% |
| Elizabeth Dorr | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 19.4% | 47.7% |
| Charlotte Skinner | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 3.8% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.