← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Famiglietti 19.2% 18.3% 16.6% 15.1% 12.2% 8.6% 6.5% 3.2% 0.3%
Stephan VerHulst 11.1% 14.0% 14.5% 14.6% 14.4% 13.1% 10.0% 6.3% 2.0%
Matthew Peterson 11.8% 11.4% 12.4% 12.2% 14.0% 14.5% 13.1% 7.9% 2.7%
Samuel Peirson 13.6% 15.3% 13.6% 14.7% 14.4% 11.7% 8.9% 6.2% 1.6%
Rafael Melendez 3.2% 4.4% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 9.9% 13.3% 23.7% 24.9%
Michael Sanandajian 24.1% 22.0% 17.7% 14.3% 9.5% 7.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Giancarlo Falconi 8.0% 6.8% 8.7% 9.3% 14.0% 16.5% 17.0% 14.2% 5.5%
Chad Murray 2.1% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 6.1% 9.4% 18.6% 51.8%
Anna Palmer 6.9% 5.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.3% 12.6% 18.4% 18.3% 10.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.