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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Florida2.38+1.95vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.15+1.44vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.56+1.31vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.08-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.08-1.64vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.75-0.45vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.01-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01-1.28vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.98-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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3.44Jacksonville University2.150.2%1st Place
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4.31Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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3.33Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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5.55Eckerd College0.750.1%1st Place
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6.74Jacksonville University0.010.0%1st Place
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6.72University of South Florida0.010.0%1st Place
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8.6Rollins College-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Armington | 24.7% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Steo | 16.1% | 19.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 10.5% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 19.0% | 18.1% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 19.5% | 20.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 23.0% | 13.4% | 1.4% |
| Stanley Carraway | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 13.4% | 25.2% | 36.1% | 7.2% |
| Delaney Caron | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 24.7% | 34.3% | 8.7% |
| John Larson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 9.2% | 82.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.