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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Peter Steo 19.5% 17.1% 19.6% 19.1% 11.8% 8.5% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Walter Conlan, IV 3.5% 3.7% 6.6% 9.0% 12.4% 22.9% 23.5% 15.7% 2.7%
Geoffrey St. John 9.8% 11.6% 13.1% 15.6% 19.3% 17.3% 10.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Samuel Armington 23.9% 24.4% 18.5% 14.8% 11.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Curtis Woodworth 18.6% 21.2% 16.3% 15.6% 14.6% 8.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Max Thompson 19.2% 15.7% 19.8% 17.0% 15.4% 8.6% 3.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Stanley Carraway 2.6% 2.9% 2.3% 4.4% 6.9% 13.2% 25.9% 34.6% 7.2%
Delaney Caron 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.1% 7.1% 13.7% 23.6% 34.5% 8.4%
John Larson 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 1.5% 2.2% 4.0% 9.3% 81.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.