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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.15+2.30vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.75+3.81vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.56+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.38-1.11vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.08-1.66vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.08-2.62vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.01-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.01-1.31vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-1.98-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Jacksonville University2.150.2%1st Place
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5.81Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
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4.32Eckerd College1.560.1%1st Place
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2.89University of Florida2.380.2%1st Place
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3.34Florida State University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.38University of Miami2.080.2%1st Place
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6.7Jacksonville University0.010.0%1st Place
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6.69University of South Florida0.010.0%1st Place
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8.58Rollins College-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Steo | 19.5% | 17.1% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Walter Conlan, IV | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 15.7% | 2.7% |
| Geoffrey St. John | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Armington | 23.9% | 24.4% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Curtis Woodworth | 18.6% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Thompson | 19.2% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Carraway | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 25.9% | 34.6% | 7.2% |
| Delaney Caron | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 23.6% | 34.5% | 8.4% |
| John Larson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 81.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.