Race 3B

saisa-south-pts

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Armington 25.3% 21.8% 18.6% 15.2% 10.2% 6.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Geoffrey St. John 8.9% 10.1% 12.8% 17.0% 17.0% 17.5% 11.1% 4.8% 0.8%
Delaney Caron 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 5.6% 13.1% 21.9% 33.6% 13.8%
Max Thompson 18.4% 18.9% 18.9% 17.6% 13.2% 8.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Stanley Carraway 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 4.7% 8.9% 13.9% 19.7% 30.3% 13.3%
Walter Conlan, IV 5.3% 4.0% 8.4% 7.7% 13.8% 19.6% 25.9% 13.2% 2.1%
Peter Steo 18.1% 20.5% 17.6% 16.7% 14.2% 8.2% 3.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Curtis Woodworth 18.4% 18.5% 15.9% 15.4% 15.5% 10.3% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Federico Pozas 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 3.2% 7.0% 14.5% 69.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.