Race 4B

saisa-south-pts

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Samuel Armington 24.6% 20.6% 19.6% 16.4% 9.8% 6.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 14.5% 18.5% 17.9% 18.0% 14.3% 9.7% 5.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Peter Steo 20.1% 17.8% 17.2% 15.8% 16.0% 9.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Max Thompson 18.9% 17.5% 18.6% 18.4% 13.5% 8.4% 3.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Geoffrey St. John 11.0% 14.7% 13.3% 14.5% 15.6% 17.6% 8.7% 3.4% 1.2%
Delaney Caron 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.8% 6.8% 12.7% 24.0% 30.9% 13.0%
Stanley Carraway 2.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 6.7% 13.2% 23.6% 32.4% 12.7%
Walter Conlan, IV 5.4% 4.8% 6.8% 7.4% 15.1% 19.1% 22.4% 15.6% 3.4%
Federico Pozas 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 7.4% 14.1% 69.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.