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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.71vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.92+7.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+7.21vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+4.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.62vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.31vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.70vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73+0.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.28vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.61-1.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.91-3.96vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.81vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.81-2.24vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.42-9.77vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.21Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.7U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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10.24College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.97Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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13.76University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% |
| Darcy Jensen | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 30.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.