← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.06+7.76vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.73+8.24vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.63vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+5.85vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.91+4.15vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.67vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.67+3.25vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.74+0.95vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.70vs Predicted
-
11Boston University3.42-3.79vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.04-2.99vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.49-2.12vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.92-5.11vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.34vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.35-8.59vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.61-6.33vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida1.81-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.76Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.24College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
-
5.63University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
10.25George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
-
8.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.95Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
7.21Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.01University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
10.88Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.89Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
11.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
7.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.67Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
-
13.56University of South Florida1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% |
| Darcy Jensen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.