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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+1.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+1.54vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.20-0.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.49+0.46vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-0.67-1.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-1.79-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Columbia University0.0926.1%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7112.9%1st Place
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2.29SUNY Maritime College0.2034.9%1st Place
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4.46SUNY Stony Brook-1.496.8%1st Place
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3.36Hamilton College-0.6714.8%1st Place
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4.82U. S. Military Academy-1.794.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 26.1% | 27.4% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 10.1% |
| Andrew Embry | 34.9% | 26.9% | 19.9% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 29.2% | 31.4% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 14.8% | 16.4% | 21.3% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 8.9% |
| Justin McDaniel | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.